Dosage: Pedigree & Performance
b/br.h., 1976 (Pitcairn-Rose Bertin, by High Hat))
(September 25, 1998)
by Steve Miller, with an introduction by Steve Roman
Introduction: Steve Miller has now completed his study of the race performances of the progeny of Ela-Mana-Mou. This completes his work on what he currently considers the two most serious omissions in the Dosage system from a European perspective, the other being the recently included Sadler's Wells. The argument is made that Ela-Mana-Mou satisfactorily bridges a critical gap back to Alycidon. On the basis of this investigation, Ela-Mana-Mou is now assigned as a Professional chef-de-race.
ELA-MANA-MOU, by Pitcairn out of the High Hat mare Rose Bertin, won ten races from two to four years of age, at distances between 6 and 12 furlongs. He was a Group 1 winner at 10 and 12 furlongs (Eclipse Stakes and King George VI & Queen Elizabeth Diamond Stakes) and finished third in the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe. He was Champion European Older Horse - rated 132 in 1980.
Ela-Mana-Mou has sired winners of over 680 races from his first 13 crops of racing age. His Group 1 winners comprise - Sumayr, Almaarad, Eurobird, Natski, Emmson, Snurge and Double Trigger. He also sired seven other Group 2 winners in Grecian Urn, Fair Of The Furze, Ela Romara, Trivial Pursuit, The Little Thief, O'Connor and Double Eclipse (full brother to Double Trigger). His other Group winners include, Heavenly Manna, Only A Rumour, Gesedeh and Gay Hellene, while notable Stakes winners include Snow Princess and Tout A Coup.
Double Trigger's (ex Solac) greatest triumph, of his 14 victories (12 of them at Group level), was in the 1995 Ascot Gold Cup (20 furlongs), a race in which he finished runner-up to Classic Cliche in 1996 and was narrowly beaten in a stirring finish by Kayf Tara in 1998. He also won the Group 2 Goodwood Cup (16 furlongs) for the third time this season and performed the same feat in landing the Group 3 Doncaster Cup (18 furlongs), also for the third time this season. He achieved the so-called Stayers Triple Crown in 1995 (becoming only the fourth horse this century to achieve the distinction, along with Alycidon, Le Moss and Longboat), comprising the Ascot Gold Cup, Goodwood Cup and Doncaster Cup. He also won both the Sagaro Stakes (Ascot) and Henry II Stakes (Sandown ) twice each (in 1995 and 1996), both Group 3, 16 furlong races.
As a three-year-old Double Trigger finished third in the 1994 St Leger to Moonax (gaining revenge over Moonax when stepped-up to 20 furlongs in the following season's Gold Cup) and won the Group 3 St Leger Italiano (both 14 furlongs). He has sadly now been retired, due to swollen legs, before taking his chance to add to this tally in the Group 1 Prix du Cadran (French Gold Cup) at Longchamp.
Snurge (ex Finlandia II) won the St Leger (14 furlongs), the Gran Premio di Milano and the Rothmans International, all at Group 1. He was also disqualified from winning the Group 1 Criterium de Saint-Cloud. Like his sire he also finished third in the Arc. He was top European money-earner, until surpassed by Singspiel last season.
Almaarad (ex Silk Blend) was a triple Grade 1 winner in Australia and also won the Group 1 Aral Pokal as well as the Hardwicke Stakes (Ascot) and the Jockey Club Stakes (Newmarket), both Group 2.
Eurobird and Natski are both out of Sea-Bird (Solid chef-de-race) mares. Eurobird (ex Irish Bird) won the Group 1 Irish St Leger, and Natski (ex Sweet Rhapsody) won the Grade 1 AJC Metropolitan and was second in the Melbourne Cup.
Sumayr (ex Sursum Corda) won the Group 1 Grand Prix de Paris. Emmson (ex Happy Kin) won the Group 1 William Hill Futurity at two and the Group 3 Gontaut-Biron at Deauville.
Double Eclipse won the Group 2 Prix Vicomtesse Vigier and the Group 3 Prix de Barbville and was second in the 1995 Goodwood Cup (16 furlongs) to his brother Double Trigger. Ela Romara won the Nassau Stakes and Lowther Stakes, both Group 2.
Heavenly Manna won the Group 3 Royal Whip Stakes. Grecian Urn won the Group 2 Criterium de Maisons-Laffitte Stakes, and Fair Of The Furze won the Group 2 Tattersalls Rogers Gold Cup.
The Little Thief, like Double Eclipse after him, won the Prix Vicomtesse Vigier Stakes, at Longchamp. The Little Thief's career came to an abrupt end, when sadly breaking down in the 1995 Gold Cup. O'Connor won the Group 2 Preis von Deutschland. And three horses: Only A Rumour, Gesedeh and Gay Hellene, all won the Group 3 Prix de Flore.
Ela-Mana-Mou has also been notably successful as a broodmare sire, with his daughters producing 19 individual Group and Stakes winners, including White Muzzle, Rifapour, Belmont Park and recently Second Empire.
Taking Ela-Mana-Mou's seven Group 1 winners as a sample, their Dosage profiles look in desperate need of revision. They currently stand at:
|Sumayr||DP 1-2-7-0-0 = 10, DI 1.86, CD 0.40|
|Almaarad||DP 3-2-1-0-6 = 12, DI 0.85, CD -0.33|
|Eurobird||DP 2-3-5-8-0 = 18, DI 0.71, CD -0.06|
|Natski||DP 1-3-8-8-0 = 20, DI 0.67, CD -0.15|
|Emmson||DP 6-8-4-0-0 = 18, DI 8.00, CD 1.11|
|Snurge||DP 5-2-7-0-0 = 14, DI 3.00, CD 0.86|
|Double Trigger||DP 1-2-1-0-0 = 4, DI 7.00, CD 1.00|
Of these only Almaarad, Eurobird and Natski look anything like they should, deriving points in the stamina wing of their Dosage profiles from other sources, such as Crepello and Donatello II (Almaarad) and from Sea-Bird (Eurobird and Natski). Revised ratings, factoring in a Professional influence read:
|Sumayr||DP 1-2-7-0-16 = 26, DI 0.33, CD -1.08|
|Almaarad||DP 3-2-1-0-22 = 28, DI 0.24, CD -1.28|
|Eurobird||DP 2-3-5-8-16 = 34, DI 0.28, CD -0.97|
|Natski||DP 1-3-8-8-16 = 36, DI 0.28, CD -0.97|
|Emmson||DP 6-8-4-0-16 = 34, DI 0.89, CD -0.35|
|Snurge||DP 5-2-7-0-16 = 30, DI 0.54, CD -0.66|
|Double Trigger||DP 1-2-1-0-16 = 20, DI 0.21, CD -1.40|
Note that Double Trigger has moved from having the second highest DI of 7.00 (behind Emmson on a DI of 8.00), which is clearly ludicrous, to the lowest of 0.21 (below that of Almaarad on a DI of 0.24), while his CD has moved from +1.00 to -1.4. The others in this sample also look much better placed on DIs of well below 1.00 and negative CDs, as they are proven (least so Emmson) beyond middle-distances or at extreme distances.
This is a radical shift, moving Double Trigger to his rightful place alongside the likes of Sagaro (Espresso-Zambara), Le Moss (Le Levanstell-Feemoss, and Le Moss's full brother Levmoss ten years before him), DI 0.71 CD-0.08, and Ardross (Run The Gauntlet-Le Melody), DI 0.29 CD-1.11, as befits the winner of multiple Group races at 2 miles plus. Sagaro, Le Moss and Ardross represent a golden period of quality staying horses in Britain, winning seven Gold Cups between them during the period 1975-82. Such quality had not been witnessed since the late 1940s (when the virtually unbeatable stayer Alycidon - Ela-Mana-Mou's great, great grandsire - and Caracalla before him reigned supreme).
According to the current edition of Weatherbys' The Statistical Record, Ela-Mana-Mou has an AWD (average winning distance) of 11.8 furlongs. Of 70 stallions in the current edition of Weatherby's Stallion Book only two (Old Vic 12.4f and Slip Anchor 12.3f - from smaller winning samples) have higher AWDs. The average for the 70 sires is below 9 furlongs.
Of the sample of 242 winning performances of Ela-Mana-Mou's progeny, 151 have won at 11 furlongs or more, 138 have won at 12 furlongs or more, and no less than 80 (a third of his winners) have won at 14 furlongs or more. To bring home the significance of this final figure of 80, in the 14 furlongs plus division, we can compare it with the likes of Sadler's Wells (Classic/Solid chef-de-race) who has 53 in this division from a much larger winning sample of 407 winning performances.
Furthermore, if the winning distances were specified above 14 furlongs, Ela-Mana-Mou would have a higher average and would be the clear leader in terms of the highest AWD of the 70 stallions, as a higher concentration of his offspring have won at 16, 18 and 20 furlongs than for the other leading sires. Ela-Mana-Mou's full profile reads AWD = 11.8, 5f = 3, 6f = 5, 7f = 14, 8f = 23, 9f = 11, 10f = 35, 11f = 13, 12f = 54, 13f = 4, 14f & 14f+ = 80. Due to the exploits of Double Trigger this season, Ela-Mana-Mou's AWD can be expected to increase again when the statistics for the current season are added.
Ela-Mana-Mou is an unqualified influence for stamina, transmitting characteristics passed down from the likes of Alycidon, Donatello II, Chateau Bouscaut, Son-In-Law, Mieuxce, Bayardo, Hurry On and Massine (all Professional chefs-de-race sires themselves) from his fourth fifth and sixth generations (which as far as his progeny are concerned fall outside the scope of the Dosage system), rather than the sharper influences of the likes of Hyperion and Petition in his third generation (who are included in the Dosage calculations of his progeny).
What is clearly evident is that Ela-Mana-Mou is capable of siring horses that stay considerably further than he was capable of on the racecourse (or than the influence of his more immediate predecessors suggest), with a particularly significant concentration of Cup, Classic and staying Stakes winners. In view of the above I suggest that Ela-Mana-Mou be included as a Professional chef-de-race for the purposes of the Dosage system, providing the missing-link from the great out-and-out (Professional) stayers of the past to current and subsequent generations of bloodlines stemming from Alycidon and his sire Donatello II (1934).
Sadler's Wells and Ela-Mana-Mou Update, by Steve Miller