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Rainbow
Quest (USA)
Introduction: The
following is part of a continuing series of articles by Mr. Steve Miller on the
selection of European-based chefs-de-race. Mr. Miller is a Thoroughbred owner
and correspondent from the UK and an acknowledged pedigree authority.
Rainbow Quest is assigned as the 206th chef-de-race in the split
Classic/Solid category. Rainbow Quest far from over TWENTY-FIVE
years old and one hundred stakes winners not out, talk of Rainbow Quest’s
demise is decidedly exaggerated. The son of Blushing Groom (Brilliant/Classic chef-de-race)
has reached the milestone of 100 stakes winners (in US terms at least) following
Daramsar’s win in the Grand Prix de Clairefontaine-Haras du Logis in France.
As if to mark the occasion the stallion has also become the latest member of the
chef-de-race (chief of breed) roster as a split Classic/Solid influence.
In terms of what we in Britain refer to as black-type winners (Group and Listed
races) he is the sire of 93 winners, 17 Group/Grade 1 winners and seven Classic
winners from 144 black-type performers. Rainbow
Quest, who stands at Khalid Abdullah’s Banstead Manor Stud in Cheveley near
Newmarket, still covers at least 40 mares a season and has always been limited
to 75. Simon Mockridge, the stud manager at Banstead Manor, explained that the
stallion has never been made to take on big books of mares and is still hale and
hearty as a result. As a
colt, the Jeremy Tree-trained son of Blushing Groom was Champion three-year-old
stayer in England in 1984 and joint top-rated horse in Europe in 1985 – the
winner of six races between two and four, including the Group 1 Prix de l’Arc
de Triomphe and Coronation Cup and the Group 2 Great Voltigeur Stakes. He was
placed second in three other Group 1s: the Irish Derby, the Eclipse and the
Dewhurst Stakes, as well as the Group 3 Craven Stakes and placed third in the
Prix du Jockey Club (behind Darshaan and Sadler’s Wells) and the King George
VI & Queen Elizabeth Diamond Stakes. He also ran fourth in the 2,000
Guineas. As
a two-year-old he was runner-up to the brilliant El Gran Senor in the Dewhurst
and second to the same horse in the Irish Derby at three. At four he was
runner-up to Pebbles in the Eclipse and placed in the King George before saving
the best for last in winning perhaps the world’s greatest all-age race at
Longchamp – following disqualification of first past the post Sagace who was
adjudged to have twice bumped Rainbow Quest. Rainbow
Quest had the distinction of achieving Timeform ratings of at least 130 at the
ages of two, three and four (130, 131 and 134 respectively). His
sire Blushing Groom was Champion 2-y-o in France in 1976 and Champion Miler in
Europe in 1977. He notched up seven wins, including five Group 1s and in
addition to Rainbow Quest is the sire of Nashwan,
Arazi, Blushing John, Mount Livermore, Snow Bride, Groom Dancer, Baillamont,
Sillery, Rahy, Al Bahathri, etc. Rainbow
Quest's progeny includes Derby winner Quest for Fame, Arc
winner Saumarez
and St Leger winners Millenary and Nedawi. His
haul includes 93
black-type winners, 17 Group/Grade 1 winners and seven Classic winners from 144
black-type performers. His
Group/Grade 1 winners and their principal victories are: Quest For Fame (Group victories include: Derby, Hollywood Turf Handicap, etc); Spectrum (Irish 2000 Guineas, Dubai Champion Stakes, etc); Millenary (St. Leger, Yorkshire Cup, Doncaster Cup [twice], Jockey Club Stakes, Princess of Wales's Stakes [twice], Jockey Club Cup, Gordon Stakes, Chester Vase, etc); Nedawi (St. Leger, Gordon Stakes, etc); Knight’s Baroness (Irish Oaks); Bright Generation (Italian Oaks); Saumarez (Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe, Grand Prix de Paris, Prix du Prince d’Orange); Croco Rouge (Prix d’Ispahan, Prix Lupin, Prix Greffulhe, etc); Fiji (Yellow Ribbon Handicap, Gamely Breeders' Cup Handicap, Santa Barbara Handicap, Santa Ana Handicap, etc); Sunshack (Coronation Cup, Prix Royal Oak, Criterium de Saint-Cloud, Prix de Conseil de Paris, etc); Raintrap (Prix Royal Oak, Rothman's International, San Juan Capistrano Invitational Handicap, etc); Rainbow Dancer (Hollywood Turf Handicap, Oak Tree Turf Championship Stakes, Del Mar Handicap, etc); Urgent Request (Santa Anita Handicap, San Marcos Handicap, Oak Tree Mile Handicap, Rose Of Lancaster Stakes, etc); Sought Out (Prix du Cadran, Prix Kergorlay, etc); Armiger (Racing Post Trophy, Chester Vase, etc); Special Quest (Criterium de Saint-Cloud, Prix de Noailles, etc); Edabiya (Moyglare Stud Stakes). Rainbow Quest’s Group/Grade 1 winners, ranked in order of most stamina potential to least stamina potential, according to the Dosage index (DI), are:
Looking
at these as a group the DIs look bigger than they should for a bunch of
essentially 12 furlong-plus and Cup race performers (with just one with a DI
below 1.00 and a negative CD). Examining
data from Weatherbys’ The Statistical Record for winning distances of sires
progeny (three-year-olds and above) Rainbow Quest has an average winning
distance (AWD) for his progeny of 10.9 furlongs. The distribution of winning
distances from a sample of 415 winners is as follows:
21%
of the sample was successful at up to a mile, with just over a third (34.5%)
successful at 9-11 furlongs. The remaining 44.5% were successful at a
mile-and-a-half, or more. With just over 20% winning at up to and including 8
furlongs, 79% of the sample won at middle distances or beyond. 18.5% won at
distances in excess of 12 furlongs. The distribution of winning distances for
the sample shows prepotent influence for stamina over speed with a concentration
(over 55%) at 10-12 furlongs inclusive. Looking at Classic/Solid chef-de-race Sadler’s Wells – a direct contemporary of Rainbow Quest – with a very similar headline AWD of 11.1 furlongs, yields interesting comparison:
11%
of the sample of 772 winners were successful at up to a mile, with just below
45% (against 34.5% for Rainbow Quest) successful at 9-11 furlongs. The remaining
44% were successful at a mile-and-a-half or more against a similar figure for
Rainbow Quest. 17% won at distances in excess of 12 furlongs (against Rainbow
Quest’s 18.5%). The concentration at 10-12 furlongs inclusive for Sadler’s
Wells is 65% (compared with Rainbow Quest’s 55%). Consequently,
although both Rainbow Quest and Sadler’s Wells have AWDs on or around 11
furlongs (based on these samples, 10.9 and 11.1 respectively) the shift to
stamina has slightly more emphasis with Rainbow Quest. Despite Rainbow Quest
also having a greater percentage of winners at up to and including a mile than
Sadler’s Wells the greater intensity of Sadler’s Wells at 10-12 furlongs
also causes Rainbow Quest to have a little more bias toward stamina. Expressed
differently we might say that Rainbow Quest’s distribution is more dilute
across the distance range than his contemporary, but essentially similar. This
overall distribution places Rainbow Quest in either a Classic/Solid (like his
dam sire Herbager) or an outright Solid category (in the stamina wing of the
scale). Sadler’s Wells’ split Classic/Solid designation is also biased
toward stamina, but more intense at the centre of the scale. Nevertheless, we
are talking a difference of degree rather than kind and it is clear from this
that Rainbow Quest is (like Sadler’s Wells) showing prepotentcy for his
progeny in the same general range (i.e. middle-distance plus). With
a Classic/Solid designation factored in for Rainbow Quest’s Group/Grade 1
winners we get a shift from DIs above 1.00 and positive CDs (seen in the table
above), to DIs typically below 1.00 with CDs either side of zero (in the table
below). The order in which they appear is also reshuffled:
This
is much more consistent with a group of St Leger, Prix du Cadran, Prix
Royal Oak,
Chester Vase, Derby, Arc and assorted Cup race winners. Broodmare
sire attributes Rainbow Quest was leading broodmare sire in 2003 and 2004 with 23 individual black-type performers including North Light (Derby), Rakti (Italian Derby), Powerscourt (Arlington Million), Meteor Storm and Polish Summer. Other major winners to which Rainbow Quest is the dam sire include Kris Kin (Derby) and Footstepsinthesand (2,000 Guineas). His Group/Grade 1 winners as a dam sire ranked in order of DI are:
Again only one has a DI of below 1.00, but with
a Classic/Solid designation for Rainbow Quest factored in, we get:
All
now have a DI of 1.25 or less (rather than 2.00 or less before factoring in the
Classic/Solid designation) with three below 1.00 (rather than just one before).
One (Powerscourt) moves to a negative CD (from zero) and another (Meteor Storm)
to zero from positive. Many of these are by stallions who impart influence for
sharper distance aptitude than Rainbow Quest, but it seems clear that Rainbow
Quest is adding prepotent stamina where it is lacking. North Light (by Danehill,
who is not a chef-de-race), for example, no doubt derives his stamina
through the Rainbow Quest mare Sought Out (winner of the Prix
du Cadran). In the case of
North Light, a DI and CD of 1.12 and +0.14 respectively point to a
typical Derby-winning profile, whereas without the Classic/Solid influence
factored in North Light’s figures of DI 1.60 and CD +0.35 look short of what
is required for the Derby. I am very comfortable that by joining his dam
sire Herbager as a Classic/Solid chef-de-race that Rainbow Quest improves
the Dosage system through his inclusion. STEVE MILLER September 2006 |