Dosage: Pedigree & Performance
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Prep Race Pace Parameters for 2005 Preakness Stakes Entries

Below is presented a variety of pace parameters for Preakness entries in 2005 prep races at a mile or more on dirt.  In addition to the horse, race, track, date and distance, we have included the slope, intercept and correlation coefficient derived from linear regression of the horse's fractional and final times.  These are followed by unadjusted Brohamer-type pace numbers and, from the linear regression, predicted fractional times up to 9 1/2f (unadjusted), the predicted turn time in a 9 1/2f race (9.5fTT) and the predicted last quarter mile fraction in a 10f race (9.5fLQ).  The various pace parameters are described at the end of the following tables.
  
HORSE RACE DIST SLOPE INT CC EP SP AP 1Fr 2Fr 3Fr TE %E 4f 6f 8f 9.5f 9.5fTT 9.5fLQ
Afleet Alex Arkansas Derby 9.00 0.9963 1.0858 1.00000 54.55 54.62 54.58 54.50 54.63 54.70 109.2 49.95 48.49 72.63 96.73 114.80 24.11 24.09
Afleet Alex Derby 10.00 1.0521 1.0346 0.99972 56.34 53.36 54.85 56.53 55.99 50.38 106.7 52.80 46.56 71.33 96.54 115.68 25.12 25.47
Afleet Alex Rebel S 8.50 1.0690 1.0349 0.99980 54.35 51.10 52.72 55.19 52.77 47.84 102.2 53.18 47.70 73.58 100.07 120.25 26.36 26.85
Closing Argument Holy Bull S 9.00 1.0512 1.0376 0.99998 55.39 53.41 54.40 56.33 53.62 51.42 106.8 51.87 46.83 71.72 97.04 116.26 25.23 25.58
Closing Argument Derby 10.00 1.0648 1.0222 0.99986 56.45 53.39 54.92 57.19 55.06 50.33 106.8 52.85 46.05 70.92 96.34 115.69 25.30 25.74
Closing Argument Blue Grass S 9.00 1.0556 1.0376 0.99945 55.75 52.18 53.97 55.69 55.88 48.61 104.4 53.40 47.11 72.28 97.92 117.40 25.54 25.92
Galloping Grocer Whirlaway S 8.50 1.0589 1.0301 0.99997 55.62 53.32 54.47 56.65 53.65 51.02 106.6 52.17 46.52 71.47 96.92 116.26 25.34 25.74
Galloping Grocer Gotham 8.00 1.1017 0.9851 0.99993 57.23 53.42 55.32 59.28 53.60 49.62 106.8 53.58 44.50 69.56 95.51 115.41 25.75 26.46
Galloping Grocer NY Stallion S 8.00 1.0807 1.0039 0.99967 57.27 53.17 55.22 58.24 55.40 49.08 106.3 53.87 45.14 69.97 95.48 114.97 25.36 25.92
Galloping Grocer Wood Memorial 9.00 1.0553 1.0402 0.99962 55.37 52.05 53.71 55.54 55.04 48.72 104.1 53.19 47.38 72.68 98.46 118.04 25.67 26.06
Giacomo Santa Anita Derby 9.00 1.0108 1.0732 0.99992 55.09 53.97 54.53 54.87 55.52 52.84 107.9 51.06 48.05 72.39 96.82 115.19 24.41 24.48
Giacomo San Felipe S 8.50 1.0292 1.0469 0.99979 56.75 54.61 55.68 56.74 56.77 52.47 109.2 51.97 46.40 70.44 94.71 113.03 24.22 24.41
Giacomo Derby 10.00 1.0153 1.0718 0.99990 55.04 53.65 54.35 54.87 55.37 52.26 107.3 51.30 48.20 72.75 97.42 115.99 24.65 24.75
Giacomo Sham S 9.00 1.0540 1.0350 0.99988 55.74 53.15 54.44 56.30 54.62 50.57 106.3 52.43 46.72 71.64 97.01 116.28 25.27 25.64
Going Wild Santa Catalina S 8.50 1.0347 1.0486 0.99987 55.86 53.80 54.83 56.09 55.41 51.74 107.6 51.92 46.94 71.41 96.18 114.89 24.70 24.93
Going Wild Sham S 9.00 1.0538 1.0334 0.99976 56.09 53.17 54.63 56.41 55.46 50.25 106.3 52.77 46.55 71.36 96.64 115.82 25.17 25.54
Going Wild Derby 10.00 1.1349 0.9696 0.99938 56.81 50.65 53.73 58.08 54.44 44.50 101.3 56.08 44.97 71.24 98.75 120.01 27.23 28.24
Going Wild Wood Memorial S 9.00 1.1267 0.9815 0.99914 56.16 49.72 52.94 57.17 54.20 43.28 99.4 56.50 45.70 72.16 99.79 121.10 27.37 28.32
Greeley's Galaxy SA Alw 0310 8.50 1.0099 1.0748 1.00000 54.63 54.18 54.40 54.77 54.33 53.73 108.4 50.39 48.18 72.56 97.03 115.42 24.45 24.51
Greeley's Galaxy Illinois Derby 9.00 1.0520 1.0359 1.00000 55.39 53.68 54.53 56.57 53.20 51.96 107.4 51.58 46.69 71.53 96.81 115.99 25.18 25.54
Greeley's Galaxy Derby 10.00 1.0497 1.0399 0.99908 56.48 52.68 54.58 55.75 57.85 48.87 105.4 53.59 46.97 71.89 97.23 116.46 25.25 25.59
Hal's Image Aqu 75OCl 8.00 1.0645 1.0266 1.00000 55.31 53.41 54.36 56.79 52.57 51.51 106.8 51.79 46.50 71.60 97.25 116.77 25.53 25.98
Hal's Image Aventura S 8.00 1.0938 1.0094 0.99994 54.99 51.47 53.23 56.77 51.71 47.95 102.9 53.44 46.56 72.54 99.37 119.92 26.64 27.32
Hal's Image Unbridled S 8.50 1.0707 1.0388 0.99969 53.80 50.34 52.07 54.44 52.57 46.88 100.7 53.43 48.24 74.46 101.32 121.79 26.72 27.23
Hal's Image GP Alw 8.00 1.1003 0.9984 0.99971 55.93 51.38 53.66 57.39 53.22 46.83 102.8 54.41 45.80 71.55 98.19 118.63 26.44 27.17
High Fly Aventura S 8.00 1.0611 1.0226 0.99999 53.88 53.24 53.56 54.38 52.95 52.59 106.5 50.59 45.87 70.52 95.70 114.84 25.06 25.48
High Fly Fountain of Youth S 9.00 1.0415 1.0447 0.99992 55.63 53.59 54.61 56.09 54.75 51.55 107.2 51.90 46.96 71.63 96.66 115.60 24.95 25.23
High Fly Holy Bull S 9.00 1.0531 1.0372 0.99997 55.32 53.18 54.25 56.22 53.62 51.04 106.4 51.99 46.91 71.89 97.33 116.63 25.34 25.70
High Fly Florida Derby 9.00 1.0657 1.0202 0.99985 56.52 53.45 54.98 57.31 55.00 50.38 106.9 52.87 45.90